NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 11/20/2023

We have another action-packed day of professional hoops upon us, and we've simulated every game thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks for you on Monday, November 20, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Monday's data-backed projections below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

The best online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Monday, 11/20.

Monday's NBA slate features star players such as Stephen Curry, Anthony Edwards, and Bam Adebayo, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 20.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Today: Monday 11/20/2023

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Monday.

1. Alperen Sengun To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 14.5%
• Matchup: Rockets vs. Warriors (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Rockets and Warriors. The bet is on Alperen Sengun (HOU) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.2%.

2. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 13.9%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Monday comes in the Knicks vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on Jalen Brunson (NY) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, November 20, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also found the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 16.1%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Anthony Edwards, with a 15.0% probability, and Bam Adebayo, with a 14.9% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 20, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	16.1%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)	15.0%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	14.9%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.8%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	14.5%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	13.9%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	13.4%
Brandon Ingram (Pelicans)	13.4%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)	13.4%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	13.2%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, it does not necessarily mean they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: November 20, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, November 20, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

As well as providing NBA prop plays such as the first basket picks featured above for Monday, Dimers also provides a detailed range of NBA prop trends to assist your basketball bets every day. These NBA betting trends will tell you how often star players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for every single NBA matchup on November 20, 2023.