NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 11/13/2023

Another action-packed day of NBA action is on the cards, and we've simulated all of today's matchups thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket picks for you on Monday, November 13, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Monday's data-driven projections below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

All of the top sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Monday, 11/13.

Monday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, De'Aaron Fox, and Donovan Mitchell, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on November 13.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 11/13/2023

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 15.5%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Cavaliers and Kings. The bet is on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 5.0%.

The next two recommended bets are for DeMar DeRozan (4.0% edge) to score first in the Bulls vs. Bucks game and Zach LaVine (3.2%) to score the first basket, also in the Bulls-Bucks matchup.

2. DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 13.1%
• Game: Bulls vs. Bucks (8:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Bulls vs. Bucks game, where our model has found an edge of 4.0% on DeMar DeRozan (CHI) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Zach LaVine To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 12.3%
• Game: Bulls vs. Bucks (8:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Bulls vs. Bucks game, where our model has found an edge of 3.2% on Zach LaVine (CHI) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Nikola Vucevic To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 12%
• Game: Bulls vs. Bucks (8:00PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Bulls vs. Bucks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on Nikola Vucevic (CHI) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, November 13, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 16.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.5% probability, and Donovan Mitchell, with a 14.8% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 13, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	16.8%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.5%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	14.8%
DeMar DeRozan (Bulls)	13.1%
Zach LaVine (Bulls)	12.3%
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls)	12.0%
Domantas Sabonis (Kings)	11.1%
Khris Middleton (Bucks)	10.5%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)	10.0%

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, it does not necessarily indicate they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 13, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Monday, November 13, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

As well as providing NBA props such as the first basket picks featured above for Monday, Dimers also provides a detailed list of NBA prop trends to help your basketball bets every day. These NBA betting trends will tell you how often players are hitting certain prop lines, with numbers for each and every NBA matchup on November 13, 2023.