NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 10/30/2023

Another exciting day of NBA action is on the menu, and we've simulated all of today's games thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks for you on Monday, October 30, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Monday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

The top online sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value lies on Monday, 10/30.

Monday's NBA slate features star players such as Luka Doncic, Stephen Curry, and Zion Williamson, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on October 30.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 10/30/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Monday.

1. Ziaire Williams To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Mavericks and Grizzlies. The bet is on Ziaire Williams (MEM) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.5%.

The next two suggested bets are for Luka Doncic (2.7% edge) to score first in the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies game and Jamal Murray (1.8%) to score the first basket in the Jazz vs. Nuggets matchup.

2. Luka Doncic To Score First Basket (+450)

• Odds: +450 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 20.9%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Mavericks vs. Grizzlies game, where our model has found an edge of 2.7% on Luka Doncic (DAL) at odds of +450 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Game: Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Jazz vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.8% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Cade Cunningham To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 15.6%
• Game: Pistons vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Pistons vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Cade Cunningham (DET) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, October 30, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also found the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 20.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Stephen Curry, with a 17.6% probability, and Zion Williamson, with a 16.7% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: October 30, 2023

• Luka Doncic (Mavericks): 20.9% probability
• Stephen Curry (Warriors): 17.6% probability
• Zion Williamson (Pelicans): 16.7% probability
• Cade Cunningham (Pistons): 15.6% probability
• Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): 15.1% probability
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): 14.6% probability
• Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 14.6% probability
• LeBron James (Lakers): 14.0% probability
• Jamal Murray (Nuggets): 12.9% probability
• Desmond Bane (Grizzlies): 12.6% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, it does not always indicate they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: October 30, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, October 30, have been made after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

After taking in our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to take a look at our NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have bets for player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Monday's NBA games you want props for, there's no lack of options when it comes to your same-game parlays for today's basketball action.