NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 5/1/23

Another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs action is on the menu, and we've simulated each game 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket predictions for you on Monday May 1, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

The top sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech computer power and data, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Monday 5/1.

Monday's NBA games are expected to showcase players such as Devin Booker, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray, each having a relatively high probability of opening the scoring in their respective matchups.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket today value bets, as well as the players who are most likely to score first in their games on May 1.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best NBA First Basket Scorer Prop Bets - Monday 5/1/23

After simulating today's NBA slate thousands of times, our model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for games happening on Monday.

Chris Paul To Score First Basket (+1600)

• Odds: +1600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 8.5%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Suns and Nuggets. The bet is on Chris Paul (PHX) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.6%.

The next two suggested bets are for Aaron Gordon (1.8% edge) to score first in the Suns vs. Nuggets game, and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (1.0%) to score the first basket, also in the Suns-Nuggets matchup.

Aaron Gordon To Score First Basket (+1300)

• Odds: +1300 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 8.9%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA slate comes in the Suns vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.8% on Aaron Gordon (DEN) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope To Score First Basket (+2000)

• Odds: +2000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.0%
• Probability: 5.8%
• Game: Suns vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate comes in the Suns vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.0% on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) at odds of +2000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Monday May 1, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets for today's slate, Dimers.com has also found the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Devin Booker, with a probability of 14.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Nikola Jokic, with a 12.6% probability, and Jamal Murray, with a 12.6% probability.

NBA First Basket Scorer Predictions Today - May 1, 2023

• Devin Booker (PHX): 14.2% probability
• Nikola Jokic (DEN): 12.6% probability
• Jamal Murray (DEN): 12.6% probability
• Kevin Durant (PHX): 12.3% probability
• Deandre Ayton (PHX): 10.8% probability
• Aaron Gordon (DEN): 8.9% probability
• Chris Paul (PHX): 8.5% probability
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): 5.8% probability
• Josh Okogie (PHX): 4.2% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, it does not always mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

MORE: NBA Props - Monday May 1, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - May 1, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday May 1 are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations per matchup, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

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