NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Friday 6/9/2023

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Friday 6/9/2023

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA Finals action, and we've run thousands of Nuggets vs. Heat Game 4 simulations to find the best NBA first basket picks for you on Friday June 9, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Friday's projections below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

 

The top sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has identified where to find the best value on Friday 6/9.

Friday's NBA Finals Game 4 between the Nuggets and Heat is set to showcase players such as Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Jimmy Butler, each with a high chance of opening the scoring in tonight's Finals game.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on June 9.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight - Nuggets vs. Heat Game 4

After simulating today's Nuggets vs. Heat Game 4, our model has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Friday.

Gabe Vincent To Score First Basket (+1100)

  • Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 1.5%
  • Probability: 9.8%
  • Matchup: Nuggets vs. Heat (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Game 4 between the Nuggets and Heat. The bet is on Gabe Vincent (MIA) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.5%.

 

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope To Score First Basket (+1600)

  • Odds: +1600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
  • Edge: 0.5%
  • Probability: 6.4%
  • Game: Nuggets vs. Heat (8:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Friday's Nuggets vs. Heat game is the result of our model finding an edge of 0.5% on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Friday June 9, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket in Game 4 of Nuggets vs. Heat.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Nikola Jokic, with a probability of 15.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jamal Murray, with a 13.7% probability, and Jimmy Butler, with a 13.6% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight - June 9, 2023

With Game 4 of the NBA Finals between the Nuggets and Heat on the slate for tonight, here is the probabiliy of each of the 10 likely starters opening the scoring.

  • Nikola Jokic (DEN): 15.8% probability
  • Jamal Murray (DEN): 13.7% probability
  • Jimmy Butler (MIA): 13.6% probability
  • Bam Adebayo (MIA): 11.6% probability
  • Gabe Vincent (MIA): 9.8% probability
  • Kevin Love (MIA): 8.3% probability
  • Aaron Gordon (DEN): 7.2% probability
  • Max Strus (MIA): 6.6% probability
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): 6.4% probability

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, it does not necessarily mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props - Friday June 9, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - June 9, 2023

All of our NBA first basket predictions for Friday June 9 have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

If you enjoyed our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to check out the rest of Dimers' NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have picks for player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Friday's NBA matchups you want props for, there's no shortage of options when it comes to your same-game parlays for today's hoops betting action.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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