NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Friday 12/1/2023

Another big day of NBA action is on the menu, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday, December 1, 2023.

Friday's NBA slate is expected to feature players such as Kyrie Irving, Kevin Durant and Nikola Jokic, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Friday's data-driven projections below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

All of the best sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our cutting-edge computer power and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value can be found on Friday, 12/1.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on December 1.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 12/1/2023

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Friday.

1. Kyrie Irving To Score First Basket (+500)

• Odds: +500
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 19.7%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (7:30PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Grizzlies and Mavericks. The bet is on Kyrie Irving (DAL) at odds of +500 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.0%.

2. Derrick Rose To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 12.1%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Mavericks (7:30PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Grizzlies vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on Derrick Rose (MEM) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: FanDuel Sportsbook+800
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 11.5%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Raptors (7:30PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Knicks vs. Raptors game, where our model has found an edge of 0.4% on RJ Barrett (NY) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Tobias Harris To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 13.5%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Celtics (7:30PM EST)

The next best first basket bet for Friday's NBA action comes in the 76ers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Tobias Harris (PHI) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Friday, December 1, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Friday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Kyrie Irving, with a probability of 19.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Kevin Durant, with a 17.8% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 17.0% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 1, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	19.7%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	17.8%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	17.0%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	15.1%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	14.8%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	14.3%
Julius Randle (Knicks)	13.5%
Tobias Harris (76ers)	13.4%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	13.3%
Pascal Siakam (Raptors)	12.8%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, it does not necessarily mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: December 1, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, December 1, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

If you enjoyed our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to check out the rest of our NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have predictions on player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Friday's NBA games you want props for, there's no lack of options when it comes to your same-game parlays for today's basketball action.