NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Friday 11/3/2023

Another action-packed day of NBA basketball is on the cards, and we've simulated all of today's matchups thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket picks for you on Friday, November 3, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Friday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

All of the best online sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but identifying where the best value lies can be challenging. That's where Dimers.com's state-of-the-art approach comes into play.

Friday's NBA slate features big names such as Jalen Brunson, Stephen Curry, and Cam Thomas, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on November 3.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 11/3/2023

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday.

1. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 18%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Bucks (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Friday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Knicks and Bucks. The bet is on Jalen Brunson (NY) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.8%.

The next two suggested bets are for Tyrese Haliburton (3.2% edge) to score first in the Cavaliers vs. Pacers game and Kyle Kuzma (2.6%) to score the first basket in the Wizards vs. Heat matchup.

2. Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Cavaliers vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.2% on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Kyle Kuzma To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Matchup: Wizards vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Friday comes in the Wizards vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 2.6% on Kyle Kuzma (WAS) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Malcolm Brogdon To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 11.4%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Friday's NBA action comes in the Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.3% on Malcolm Brogdon (POR) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions: Friday, November 3, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Friday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 18.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Stephen Curry, with a 16.6% probability, and Cam Thomas, with a 16.6% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 3, 2023

• Jalen Brunson (Knicks): 18.0% probability
• Stephen Curry (Warriors): 16.6% probability
• Cam Thomas (Nets): 16.6% probability
• Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 16.3% probability
• Luka Doncic (Mavericks): 15.6% probability
• Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): 15.3% probability
• Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks): 14.9% probability
• Desmond Bane (Grizzlies): 14.2% probability
• Tyler Herro (Heat): 14.0% probability
• Kyle Kuzma (Wizards): 13.7% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: November 3, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, November 3, are generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

If you enjoyed our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to take a look at Dimers' NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have predictions for player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Friday's NBA games you want props for, there's no lack of options when it comes to parlays and same-game parlays for today's NBA action.