NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Friday 11/24/2023

Another big day of NBA basketball is on the menu, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday, November 24, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Friday's data-backed predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

All of the best online sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's cutting-edge approach comes into play.

Friday's NBA games are expected to showcase players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Nikola Jokic, and Anthony Edwards, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on November 24.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 11/24/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday.

1. Kyle Kuzma To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 14.7%
• Matchup: Wizards vs. Bucks (8:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Friday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Wizards and Bucks. The bet is on Kyle Kuzma (WAS) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.7%.

2. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 14.9%
• Matchup: Kings vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Kings vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Friday, November 24, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Friday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 16.3%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Nikola Jokic, with a 15.8% probability, and Anthony Edwards, with a 15.3% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: November 24, 2023

Thanks to simulating every one of Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	16.3%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	15.8%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)	15.3%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	15.0%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.9%
Kyle Kuzma (Wizards)	14.7%
Brandon Ingram (Pelicans)	14.4%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	14.2%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)	13.9%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	13.8%

Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, it does not always mean they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: November 24, 2023

All of our NBA first basket predictions for Friday, November 24, are made thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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