NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Friday 10/27/2023

We have another action-packed day of NBA basketball ahead of us, and we've simulated each matchup 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions for you on Friday, October 27, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Friday's data-driven predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

The top online sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our cutting-edge machine learning and analysis, Dimers.com has been able to identify where to find the best value on Friday, 10/27.

Friday's NBA games are expected to feature players such as Luka Doncic, Donovan Mitchell, and Stephen Curry, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on October 27.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 10/27/2023

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday.

1. Ziaire Williams To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Friday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Nuggets and Grizzlies. The bet is on Ziaire Williams (MEM) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.9%.

The next two suggested bets are for Tyler Herro (3.5% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Celtics game and RJ Barrett (3.5%) to score the first basket in the Knicks vs. Hawks matchup.

2. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Friday comes in the Heat vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 3.5% on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 13.5%
• Game: Knicks vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Friday comes in the Knicks vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 3.5% on RJ Barrett (NY) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Anfernee Simons To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 13.8%
• Game: Magic vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Friday's NBA action comes in the Magic vs. Trail Blazers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.3% on Anfernee Simons (POR) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 13.9%
• Game: Warriors vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Friday is De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +650 in the Warriors vs. Kings game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.6% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions: Friday, October 27, 2023

In addition to presenting the best NBA first basket bets today, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Friday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 17.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Donovan Mitchell, with a 16.6% probability, and Stephen Curry, with a 16.0% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: October 27, 2023

• Luka Doncic (Mavericks): 17.7% probability
• Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers): 16.6% probability
• Stephen Curry (Warriors): 16.0% probability
• Kyrie Irving (Mavericks): 15.7% probability
• Jalen Brunson (Knicks): 15.6% probability
• Cade Cunningham (Pistons): 15.6% probability
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder): 14.6% probability
• Nikola Jokic (Nuggets): 14.6% probability
• Mikal Bridges (Nets): 13.9% probability
• De'Aaron Fox (Kings): 13.9% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, which does not always mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

MORE: NBA Props

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: October 27, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, October 27, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More NBA on Dimers

Now that you've got the 411 on today's NBA first basket predictions, take a look at the best betting analysis for all NBA games on Dimers' NBA Predictions page. There you can find probabilities and odds, as well as our best bets for each and every NBA matchup.