NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Apr 30, 2023

Another huge day of NBA Playoffs basketball is on the menu, and we've simulated all of today's games thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Sunday April 30, 2023.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Sunday's picks below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

The best sportsbooks across the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our trusted computer power and data, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value lies for Sunday April 30.

Sunday's NBA slate features star players such as Jimmy Butler, Stephen Curry, and Jalen Brunson, each having a relatively high chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups.

Here, we will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket today value bets, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring first in their games today on April 30.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

NBA First Basket Prop Bets - Sunday April 30, 2023

After simulating today's NBA games thousands of times each, DimersBOT has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for games happening on Sunday.

Andrew Wiggins To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 11.9%
• Matchup: Warriors vs. Kings (3:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Warriors and Kings. The bet is on Andrew Wiggins (GSW) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.8%.

The next two suggested bets are for Jimmy Butler (2.2% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Knicks game, and Gabe Vincent (1.9% edge) to score the first basket, also in the Heat vs. Knicks matchup.

Jimmy Butler To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 16.5%
• Game: Heat vs. Knicks (1:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA slate comes in the Heat vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 2.2% on Jimmy Butler (MIA) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Gabe Vincent To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.9%
• Probability: 8.6%
• Game: Heat vs. Knicks (1:00PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for Sunday’s NBA slate comes in the Heat vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.9% on Gabe Vincent (MIA) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Obi Toppin To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Game: Heat vs. Knicks (1:00PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for today’s NBA slate comes in the Heat vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Obi Toppin (NY) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mitchell Robinson To Score First Basket (+1300)

• Odds: +1300 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Game: Heat vs. Knicks (1:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five first basket bets for Sunday’s NBA is Mitchell Robinson (+NY) at odds of +1300 in the Heat vs. Knicks game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Sunday April 30, 2023

In addition to providing you with the best NBA first basket bets for today's slate, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Sunday's games.

According to our analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Jimmy Butler, with a probability of 16.5%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Stephen Curry, with a 14.8% probability, and Jalen Brunson, with a 14.1% probability.

NBA First Basket Scorer Predictions Today - April 30, 2023

• Jimmy Butler (MIA): 16.5% probability
• Stephen Curry (GSW): 14.8% probability
• Jalen Brunson (NY): 14.1% probability
• Klay Thompson (GSW): 13.3% probability
• Obi Toppin (NY): 12.6% probability
• Andrew Wiggins (GSW): 11.9% probability
• Bam Adebayo (MIA): 11.3% probability
• RJ Barrett (NY): 10.2% probability
• Gabe Vincent (MIA): 8.6% probability
• Kevin Love (MIA): 8.0% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Sunday, which does not necessarily mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

MORE: NBA Props - Sunday April 30, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - April 30, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Sunday April 30 are based on 10,000 data-driven simulations per game, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

If you enjoyed our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to take a look at Dimers' NBA prop picks for today.

Here, we have predictions on player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers, and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Sunday's NBA matchups you want props for, there's no shortage of options when it comes to parlays and same-game parlays for today's NBA betting action.