NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Apr 29, 2023

Another big day of NBA Playoffs is on the menu, and we've simulated every game 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks for you on Saturday April 29, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Saturday's numbers below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

All of the best sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our state-of-the-art computer power and data, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value lies for Saturday April 29.

Saturday's NBA games are expected to feature big names such as Devin Booker, Nikola Jokic, and Jamal Murray, each having a relatively high probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups.

Here, Dimers will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket today value bets, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring first in their games today on April 29.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

NBA First Basket Prop Picks - Saturday April 29, 2023

Having simulated today's NBA slate thousands of times, our model has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for games taking place on Saturday.

Chris Paul To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 8.9%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Suns and Nuggets. The bet is on Chris Paul (PHX) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.2%.

The next two recommended bets are for Jamal Murray (0.3% edge) to score first in the Suns vs. Nuggets game, and Aaron Gordon (0.2% edge) to score the first basket, also in the Suns vs. Nuggets matchup.

Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 12.1%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Saturday's NBA slate comes in the Suns vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.3% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Aaron Gordon To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 8.5%
• Game: Suns vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for Saturday’s NBA slate comes in the Suns vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on Aaron Gordon (DEN) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope To Score First Basket (+1700)

• Odds: +1700 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 5.6%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Nuggets (8:30PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for today’s NBA slate comes in the Suns vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) at odds of +1700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Saturday April 29, 2023

As well as presenting the best NBA first basket bets for today's slate, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Saturday's games.

According to our analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Devin Booker, with a probability of 14.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Nikola Jokic, with a 13.3% probability, and Jamal Murray, with a 12.1% probability.

NBA First Basket Scorer Predictions Today - April 29, 2023

• Devin Booker (PHX): 14.4% probability
• Nikola Jokic (DEN): 13.3% probability
• Jamal Murray (DEN): 12.1% probability
• Kevin Durant (PHX): 11.9% probability
• Deandre Ayton (PHX): 10.7% probability
• Chris Paul (PHX): 8.9% probability
• Aaron Gordon (DEN): 8.5% probability
• Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN): 5.6% probability
• Josh Okogie (PHX): 4.2% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Saturday, which does not always mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

MORE: NBA Props - Saturday April 29, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - April 29, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Saturday April 29 have been made after 10,000 data-driven simulations per matchup, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you practise responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

After taking in our NBA first basket props, you're definitely going to want to take a look at our [NBA prop picks for today[(https://www.dimers.com/best-props/nba)!

Here, we have picks for player points, rebounds, assists, 3-pointers and more! Plus, with the ability to filter which of Saturday's NBA games you want props for, there's no shortage of options when it comes to parlays and same game parlays for today's NBA action.