NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Apr 28, 2023

We have another big day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket predictions for you on Friday April 28, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Friday's picks below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

The best online sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our cutting-edge computer power and data, Dimers.com has been able to identify where the best value lies for Friday April 28.

Friday's NBA slate features big names such as LeBron James, Ja Morant, and Anthony Davis, each having a relatively high chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket today value bets, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring first in their games today on April 28.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

NBA First Basket Prop Picks - Friday April 28, 2023

Having simulated today's NBA slate thousands of times, DimersBOT has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for games taking place on Friday.

Dillon Brooks To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.9%
• Probability: 8.6%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Friday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Grizzlies and Lakers. The bet is on Dillon Brooks (MEM) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.9%.

The next two recommended bets are for Austin Reaves (0.9% edge) to score first in the Grizzlies vs. Lakers game, and Desmond Bane (0.1% edge) to score the first basket, also in the Grizzlies vs. Lakers matchup.

Austin Reaves To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.9%
• Probability: 8.6%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA slate comes in the Grizzlies vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.9% on Austin Reaves (LAL) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Desmond Bane To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 11.2%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for Friday’s NBA slate comes in the Grizzlies vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Desmond Bane (MEM) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Friday April 28, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets for today's slate, Dimers.com has also identified the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Friday's games.

According to our analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is LeBron James, with a probability of 14.1%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Ja Morant, with a 12.4% probability, and Anthony Davis, with a 11.9% probability.

NBA First Basket Scorer Predictions Today - April 28, 2023

• LeBron James (LAL): 14.1% probability
• Ja Morant (MEM): 12.4% probability
• Anthony Davis (LAL): 11.9% probability
• Desmond Bane (MEM): 11.2% probability
• D'Angelo Russell (LAL): 8.8% probability
• Austin Reaves (LAL): 8.6% probability
• Dillon Brooks (MEM): 8.6% probability
• Xavier Tillman (MEM): 7.1% probability
• Jarred Vanderbilt (LAL): 6.6% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Friday, which does not always mean that our model recommends betting on them.

MORE: NBA Props - Friday April 28, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks - April 28, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday April 28 have been generated after 10,000 data-driven simulations per matchup, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

Now you've got the 411 on today's NBA first basket predictions, take a look at the best betting analysis for all NBA games on our NBA Predictions page, where you can find probabilities and odds, plus our best bets for each and every NBA matchup.