NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Apr 27, 2023

Another big day of NBA Playoffs is on the menu, and we've simulated every game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket plays for you on Thursday April 27, 2023.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Thursday's numbers below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

The top online sportsbooks in the country offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, and by utilizing our high-tech machine learning and data, Dimers.com has identified where the best value can be found for Thursday April 27.

Thursday's NBA slate is expected to feature players such as Jaylen Brown, Dejounte Murray, and Jayson Tatum, each having a relatively high probability of opening the scoring in their respective matchups.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket today value bets, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring first in their games today on April 27.

MORE: Every NBA Game Simulated 10,000 Times

NBA First Basket Prop Bets - Thursday April 27, 2023

Having simulated today's NBA games 10,000 times each, our model has discovered the best NBA first basket bets to make for games taking place on Thursday.

John Collins To Score First Basket (+1500)

• Odds: +1500 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.9%
• Probability: 8.1%
• Game: Celtics vs. Hawks (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Celtics and Hawks. The bet is on John Collins (ATL) at odds of +1500 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.9%.

The next two recommended plays are for Derrick White (1.8% edge) to score first in the Celtics vs. Hawks game, and Clint Capela (1.3% edge) to score the first basket, also in the Celtics vs. Hawks matchup.

Derrick White To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 9.5%
• Game: Celtics vs. Hawks (8:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Thursday's NBA slate comes in the Celtics vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.8% on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Clint Capela To Score First Basket (+1300)

• Odds: +1300 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 8.4%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Hawks (8:30PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for Thursday’s NBA slate comes in the Celtics vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Clint Capela (ATL) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Dejounte Murray To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650 via FanDuel Sportsbook
• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 13.5%
• Game: Celtics vs. Hawks (8:30PM ET)

Our next best first basket bet for Thursday’s NBA slate comes in the Celtics vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on Dejounte Murray (ATL) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA First Basket Predictions - Thursday April 27, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets for today's slate, Dimers.com has also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Thursday's games.

According to our analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 14.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Dejounte Murray, with a 13.5% probability, and Jayson Tatum, with a 12.8% probability.

NBA First Basket Scorer Predictions Today - April 27, 2023

• Jaylen Brown (BOS): 14.6% probability
• Dejounte Murray (ATL): 13.5% probability
• Jayson Tatum (BOS): 12.8% probability
• Trae Young (ATL): 10.6% probability
• Derrick White (BOS): 9.5% probability
• De'Andre Hunter (ATL): 9.4% probability
• Marcus Smart (BOS): 8.9% probability
• Clint Capela (ATL): 8.4% probability
• John Collins (ATL): 8.1% probability
• Al Horford (BOS): 4.1% probability

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, which does not always mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

MORE: NBA Props - Thursday April 27, 2023

What Is an Edge in Betting?

The edge at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks - April 27, 2023

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Thursday April 27 are made after 10,000 data-driven simulations per matchup, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's crucial that you practise responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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