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NBA First Basket Predictions for Sunday Include Shaedon Sharpe, Jordan Poole [4/6/2025]
Our expert analysis on Sunday's NBA first basket market.

This Sunday, April 6th, another big day of NBA basketball is on the cards, headlined by the Lakers' matchup against the Thunder at 3:30PM ET.
After examining Sunday's NBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has selected as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Sunday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Sunday's NBA games are expected to feature big names such as Shaedon Sharpe, Jordan Poole and RJ Barrett, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 6, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers) | 15.4% |
Jordan Poole (Wizards) | 15.1% |
RJ Barrett (Raptors) | 14.8% |
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) | 14.7% |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) | 14.6% |
Devin Booker (Suns) | 14.4% |
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 14.2% |
Trendon Watford (Nets) | 13.8% |
Keon Johnson (Nets) | 13.7% |
Collin Sexton (Jazz) | 13.7% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Shaedon Sharpe, with a probability of 15.4%.
Following Sharpe closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jordan Poole at 15.1% and RJ Barrett at 14.8%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Sunday, 4/6/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model has discovered the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Jordan Poole To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 15.1%
- Matchup: Wizards vs. Celtics (6:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate in the game between the Wizards and Celtics. The bet is on Jordan Poole (WAS) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 6.0% according to our analysis.
Not only does Poole present an edge according to our model, but him is also among our top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [4/6/2025]
- Lakers vs. Thunder (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
- Wizards vs. Celtics (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Kings vs. Cavaliers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Jazz vs. Hawks (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Suns vs. Knicks (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Pacers vs. Nuggets (8:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Rockets vs. Warriors (8:30PM ET, Sunday)
For more betting guides, check out Sunday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Sunday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 6, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 6, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, April 6, have been made after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More on NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.