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NBA First Basket Predictions for Friday Include Jakob Poeltl, Collin Sexton [4/4/2025]
Our expert analysis on Friday's NBA first basket market.

This Friday, April 4th, it's time for an action-packed day of NBA basketball, headlined by the Jazz' matchup against the Pacers at 7:00PM ET.
After reviewing Friday's NBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data experts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Friday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Friday's NBA games are expected to showcase players such as Jakob Poeltl, Collin Sexton and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 4, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Jakob Poeltl (Raptors) | 16.8% |
Collin Sexton (Jazz) | 15.5% |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) | 15.2% |
Cade Cunningham (Pistons) | 15.2% |
Anthony Davis (Mavericks) | 14.5% |
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets) | 14.4% |
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers) | 14.0% |
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 13.6% |
Miles Bridges (Hornets) | 13.5% |
Stephon Castle (Spurs) | 13.2% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Jakob Poeltl, with a probability of 16.8%.
Following Poeltl closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Collin Sexton at 15.5% and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander at 15.2%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Friday, 4/4/2025]
After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Friday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Tari Eason To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1400
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 11%
- Game: Thunder vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Friday's NBA slate in the game between the Thunder and Rockets. The bet is on Tari Eason (HOU) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.3% according to our analysis.
Although Eason doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Friday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those searching for an edge on the market.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Friday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [4/4/2025]
- Jazz vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Friday)
- Suns vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
- Pistons vs. Raptors (7:30PM ET, Friday)
- Thunder vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET, Friday)
- Trail Blazers vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Friday)
- Nuggets vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Friday)
- Mavericks vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET, Friday)
For more betting guides, check out Friday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Friday.
Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: April 4, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 4, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, April 4, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
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