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NBA First Basket Predictions for Wednesday Include Anthony Edwards, Luka Doncic [4/30/2025]
Our expert analysis on Wednesday's NBA first basket market.

This Wednesday, April 30th, another action-packed day of NBA basketball is on the cards, headlined by the Warriors' matchup against the Rockets at 7:30PM ET.
After examining Wednesday's NBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Wednesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Wednesday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as Anthony Edwards, Luka Doncic and Stephen Curry, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 30, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | 15.7% |
Luka Doncic (Lakers) | 14.6% |
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 14.0% |
Alperen Sengun (Rockets) | 13.0% |
LeBron James (Lakers) | 12.8% |
Buddy Hield (Warriors) | 11.0% |
Julius Randle (Timberwolves) | 10.9% |
Jalen Green (Rockets) | 10.8% |
Amen Thompson (Rockets) | 10.4% |
Dillon Brooks (Rockets) | 10.1% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 15.7%.
Following Edwards closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Luka Doncic at 14.6% and Stephen Curry at 14.0%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Wednesday, 4/30/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Wednesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Buddy Hield To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 1.9%
- Probability: 11%
- Matchup: Warriors vs. Rockets (7:30PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Warriors and Rockets. The bet is on Buddy Hield (GSW) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 1.9% according to our analysis.
Dimers' model not only showcases Hield for him 1.9% betting edge but also ranks him among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the earlier list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [4/30/2025]
- Warriors vs. Rockets (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
For more betting guides, check out Wednesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Wednesday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 30, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 30, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, April 30, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
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This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
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