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NBA First Basket Predictions for Tuesday Include Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ja Morant [4/22/2025]
Our expert analysis on Tuesday's NBA first basket market.

This Tuesday, April 22nd, another exciting day of NBA basketball is on the cards, headlined by the Bucks' matchup against the Pacers at 7:00PM ET.
After scrutinizing Tuesday's NBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has projected to have the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Tuesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Tuesday's NBA Play-In Tournment slate is expected to feature star players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ja Morant and Anthony Edwards, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 22, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks) | 16.3% |
Ja Morant (Grizzlies) | 15.0% |
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) | 14.6% |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) | 13.9% |
Luka Doncic (Lakers) | 13.4% |
Jalen Williams (Thunder) | 13.4% |
LeBron James (Lakers) | 12.1% |
Desmond Bane (Grizzlies) | 11.8% |
Pascal Siakam (Pacers) | 11.5% |
Julius Randle (Timberwolves) | 11.4% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 16.3%.
Following Antetokounmpo closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Ja Morant at 15.0% and Anthony Edwards at 14.6%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Tuesday, 4/22/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our leading predictive analytics model has found the best NBA first basket betting pick for Tuesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Aaron Nesmith To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1500
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 9.7%
- Matchup: Bucks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Tuesday's NBA slate in the game between the Bucks and Pacers. The bet is on Aaron Nesmith (IND) at odds of +1500 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.5% according to our analysis.
Although Nesmith doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Tuesday's NBA slate, he does present the best betting opportunity for those searching for an edge on the market.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
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- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [4/22/2025]
- Bucks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Grizzlies vs. Thunder (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- Timberwolves vs. Lakers (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
For more betting guides, check out Tuesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 22, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 22, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, April 22, are made thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More on NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
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