NBA First Basket Predictions for Sunday Include Stephen Curry, Tyler Herro [4/20/2025]

This Sunday, April 20th, we have another big day of NBA basketball upon us, headlined by the Heat's matchup against the Cavaliers at 7:00PM ET.

After reviewing Sunday's NBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.

Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Sunday.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Sunday's NBA Play-In Tournment games are expected to showcase players such as Stephen Curry, Tyler Herro and Jalen Green, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 20, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	15.7%
Tyler Herro (Heat)	13.1%
Jalen Green (Rockets)	12.1%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	11.5%
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)	11.4%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets)	11.3%
Brandin Podziemski (Warriors)	11.3%
Darius Garland (Cavaliers)	11.0%
Amen Thompson (Rockets)	10.8%
Andrew Wiggins (Heat)	10.4%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Stephen Curry, with a probability of 15.7%.

Following Curry closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Tyler Herro at 13.1% and Jalen Green at 12.1%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Sunday, 4/20/2025]

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Tyler Herro To Score First Basket

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 13.1%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Heat and Cavaliers. The bet is on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.1% according to our analysis.

Not only does Herro present an edge according to the model, but him is also among our top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

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• Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games

NBA Schedule for Today [4/20/2025]

• Heat vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Warriors vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

For more betting guides, check out Sunday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Sunday.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: April 20, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 20, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of our NBA first basket picks for Sunday, April 20, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

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