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NBA First Basket Predictions for Tuesday Include Paolo Banchero, Stephen Curry [4/15/2025]
Our expert analysis on Tuesday's NBA first basket market.

This Tuesday, April 15th, it's time for an exciting day of NBA action, headlined by the Hawks' matchup against the Magic at 7:30PM ET.
After examining Tuesday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has selected as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective Play-In matchups on Tuesday.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Tuesday's NBA Play-In Tournment games are expected to showcase players such as Paolo Banchero, Stephen Curry and Ja Morant, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for April 15, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Paolo Banchero (Magic) | 16.0% |
Stephen Curry (Warriors) | 15.6% |
Ja Morant (Grizzlies) | 15.5% |
Franz Wagner (Magic) | 14.9% |
Zaccharie Risacher (Hawks) | 12.7% |
Brandin Podziemski (Warriors) | 11.8% |
Trae Young (Hawks) | 11.2% |
Desmond Bane (Grizzlies) | 11.0% |
Dyson Daniels (Hawks) | 10.6% |
Onyeka Okongwu (Hawks) | 8.8% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Paolo Banchero, with a probability of 16.0%.
Following Banchero closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Stephen Curry at 15.6% and Ja Morant at 15.5%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Tuesday, 4/15/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model has generated the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Tuesday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Stephen Curry To Score First Basket
- Odds: +800
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 15.6%
- Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Grizzlies and Warriors. The bet is on Stephen Curry (GSW) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.5% according to our analysis.
Our model not only features Curry for him 4.5% betting edge but also ranks him among the top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Tuesday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Play-In action Schedule for Today [4/15/2025]
- Hawks vs. Magic (7:30PM ET, Tuesday)
- Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
For more betting guides, check out Tuesday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Tuesday.
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 15, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 15, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Tuesday, April 15, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More About NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.