NBA First Basket Predictions for Friday Include Giannis Antetokounmpo, Karl-Anthony Towns [3/28/2025]

This Friday, March 28th, another action-packed day of NBA basketball is on the menu, headlined by the Cavaliers' matchup against the Pistons at 7:00PM ET.

After examining Friday's NBA simulation results early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have revealed their best first basket bet of the day.

Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Friday.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Friday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Karl-Anthony Towns and Collin Sexton, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for March 28, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	16.2%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Knicks)	16.1%
Collin Sexton (Jazz)	15.6%
Miles Bridges (Hornets)	14.8%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	14.3%
Jakob Poeltl (Raptors)	13.9%
Jalen Duren (Pistons)	13.7%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	13.5%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	13.1%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	13.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 16.2%.

Following Antetokounmpo closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Karl-Anthony Towns at 16.1% and Collin Sexton at 15.6%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Friday, 3/28/2025]

After simulating the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Friday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Jalen Duren To Score First Basket

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Cavaliers and Pistons. The bet is on Jalen Duren (DET) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.6% according to our analysis.

Not only does Duren present an edge according to the model, but him is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Friday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

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NBA Schedule for Today [3/28/2025]

• Cavaliers vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Suns vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Knicks vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Jazz vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET, Friday)

For more betting guides, check out Friday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Friday.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 28, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 28, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Friday, March 28, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

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This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

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