NBA First Basket Predictions for Sunday Include Zion Williamson, LeBron James [3/2/2025]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Our expert analysis on Sunday's NBA first basket market.

NBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely NBA first basket scorers for Sunday have been revealed.

This Sunday, March 2nd, we have another big day of NBA basketball upon us, headlined by the Trail Blazers' matchup against the Cavaliers at 3:30PM ET.

After going over Sunday's NBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.

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Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has selected as having the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Sunday.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent latest NBA Injury Report, Sunday's NBA slate is expected to showcase star players such as Zion Williamson, LeBron James and Franz Wagner, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [NBA Cheat Sheet for March 2, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Zion Williamson (Pelicans) 16.6%
LeBron James (Lakers) 16.0%
Franz Wagner (Magic) 15.5%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) 14.7%
Tyler Herro (Heat) 14.4%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers) 13.8%
Shaedon Sharpe (Trail Blazers) 13.8%
Paolo Banchero (Magic) 13.8%
Luka Doncic (Lakers) 13.6%
Bam Adebayo (Heat) 13.6%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Zion Williamson, with a probability of 16.6%.

Following Williamson closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are LeBron James at 16.0% and Franz Wagner at 15.5%.

LeBron James dunking in 2024.
LeBron James is one of the most likely NBA players to score the first basket on Sunday, March 2, 2025.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Sunday, 3/2/2025]

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Shaedon Sharpe To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate in the game between the Trail Blazers and Cavaliers. The bet is on Shaedon Sharpe (POR) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.8% according to our analysis.

Not only does Sharpe present an edge according to our model, but he is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Get All 10 First Basket Picks for Sunday
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

NBA Schedule for Today [3/2/2025]

For more betting guides, check out Sunday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Sunday.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 2, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 2, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, March 2, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee.

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Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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