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NBA First Basket Predictions for Sunday Include Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Anfernee Simons [1/26/2025]
Our expert analysis on Sunday's NBA first basket market.

This Sunday, January 26th, it's time for an action-packed day of NBA basketball, with the Thunder facing the Trail Blazers at 6:00PM ET.
After assessing Sunday's NBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.
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Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the highest probability of scoring the first basket in Sunday's lone game.
Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.
NBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Sunday's NBA slate is expected to showcase star players such as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Anfernee Simons and Deni Avdija, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First NBA Basket Tonight? [Cheat Sheet for January 26, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Sunday's NBA game 10,000 times, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) | 16.5% |
Anfernee Simons (Trail Blazers) | 14.4% |
Deni Avdija (Trail Blazers) | 12.0% |
Jalen Williams (Thunder) | 10.2% |
Aaron Wiggins (Thunder) | 8.8% |
Toumani Camara (Trail Blazers) | 8.1% |
Donovan Clingan (Trail Blazers) | 7.7% |
Jerami Grant (Trail Blazers) | 7.7% |
Isaiah Hartenstein (Thunder) | 7.5% |
Cason Wallace (Thunder) | 7.0% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in Sunday's clash is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a probability of 16.5%.
Following Gilgeous-Alexander closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Anfernee Simons at 14.4% and Deni Avdija at 12.0%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Sunday, 1/26/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Sunday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Anfernee Simons To Score First Basket
- Odds: +700
- Edge: 1.9%
- Probability: 14.4%
- Matchup: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (6:00PM EST)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate in the game between the Thunder and Trail Blazers. The bet is on Anfernee Simons (POR) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 1.9% according to our analysis.
Our model not only highlights Simons for his 1.9% betting edge but also ranks him among the top three most first basket likely scorers for today's Thunder vs. Trail Blazers matchup, as seen in the preceding list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
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NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official NBA feed
- Check updated NBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's NBA games
NBA Schedule for Today [1/26/2025]
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
Today's NBA First Basket Picks: January 26, 2025
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for January 26, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Sunday, January 26, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More on NBA
This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.
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