NBA First Basket Predictions for Saturday Include Collin Sexton, Kevin Durant [1/11/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert analysis on Saturday's NBA first basket market.

NBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely NBA first basket scorers for Saturday have been revealed.

This Saturday, January 11th, it's time for an action-packed day of NBA basketball, headlined by the Rockets' matchup against the Hawks at 3:00PM ET.

After examining Saturday's NBA simulations this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.

Sign up with code 20BASKETBALL at checkout right now to receive 20% off your first month of Dimers Pro! This offer won't last forever.

Additionally, this article reveals the NBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Saturday.

Let's dive into today's NBA first basket news and updates.

NBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent injury reports, Saturday's NBA games are expected to showcase star players such as Collin Sexton, Kevin Durant and Anthony Edwards, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First NBA Basket Tonight? [Cheat Sheet for January 11, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Collin Sexton (Jazz) 15.8%
Kevin Durant (Suns) 15.8%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves) 14.8%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons) 14.8%
Lauri Markkanen (Jazz) 13.5%
Alperen Sengun (Rockets) 13.4%
Jalen Green (Rockets) 13.1%
Trae Young (Hawks) 13.0%
Tyler Herro (Heat) 12.5%
Devin Booker (Suns) 12.4%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Collin Sexton, with a probability of 15.8%.

Following Sexton closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Kevin Durant at 15.8% and Anthony Edwards at 14.8%.

Kevin Durant shooting over James Harden.
Kevin Durant is one of the most likely NBA players to score the first basket on Saturday, January 11, 2025.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: NBA First Basket [Saturday, 1/11/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bet for you to make on Saturday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Collin Sexton To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday's NBA slate in the game between the Jazz and Suns. The bet is on Collin Sexton (UTA) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.3% according to our analysis.

Not only does Sexton present an edge according to our model, but he is also the number one most likely first basket scorer for today, as noted in the list above.

 

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Saturday's data-driven NBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

NBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

NBA Schedule for Today [1/11/2025]

For more betting guides, check out Saturday's NBA best bets and our NBA player prop picks for Saturday.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: January 11, 2025

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for January 11, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Saturday, January 11, are made after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content, we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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