NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Wednesday, 5/15/2024]

We have another exciting day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Wednesday, May 15, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature star players such as Jaylen Brown, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Luka Doncic, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on May 15.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 15, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	16.2%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	14.2%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	13.0%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	11.9%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	11.1%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)	11.0%
Darius Garland (Cavaliers)	10.6%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)	10.4%
Derrick White (Celtics)	10.4%
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)	10.2%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 16.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 14.2% probability, and Luka Doncic, with a 13.0% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, it does not necessarily indicate they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 5/15/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Wednesday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Kyrie Irving To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 11.9%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday, which is in the game between the Mavericks and Thunder. The bet is on Kyrie Irving (DAL) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.3%.

The next two recommended plays are for Derrick White (1.3% edge) to score first in the Cavaliers vs. Celtics game and P.J. Washington (0.2%) to score the first basket in the Mavericks vs. Thunder matchup.

2. Derrick White To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 10.3%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday comes in the Cavaliers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's Best NBA Bets

3. P.J. Washington To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 9.3%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Mavericks vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on P.J. Washington (DAL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's NBA Prop Picks

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Wednesday slate:

• Cavaliers vs. Celtics Prediction (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 15, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 15, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Wednesday, May 15, have been made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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