NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Wednesday, 5/1/2024]

Another big day of NBA Playoffs action is on the menu, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Wednesday, May 1, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase players such as Luka Doncic, Jaylen Brown and Bam Adebayo, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 1.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 1, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	13.9%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	13.8%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	13.6%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	12.7%
Ivica Zubac (Clippers)	12.7%
Tyler Herro (Heat)	12.3%
Paul George (Clippers)	12.0%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	11.5%
Terance Mann (Clippers)	10.1%
Nikola Jovic (Heat)	10.0%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 13.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jaylen Brown, with a 13.8% probability, and Bam Adebayo, with a 13.6% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, which does not necessarily indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 5/1/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Wednesday.

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1. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 12.3%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday, which is in the game between the Heat and Celtics. The bet is on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.2%.

The next two suggested plays are for Terance Mann (0.6% edge) to score first in the Mavericks vs. Clippers game and Nikola Jovic (0.5%) to score the first basket in the Heat vs. Celtics matchup.

2. Terance Mann To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 10.1%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Clippers (10:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Mavericks vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on Terance Mann (LAC) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's Best NBA Bets

3. Nikola Jovic To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 0.5%
• Probability: 10%
• Game: Heat vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Wednesday comes in the Heat vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 0.5% on Nikola Jovic (MIA) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Derrick White To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 0.5%
• Probability: 9.6%
• Game: Heat vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Heat vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 0.5% on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Wednesday slate:

• Heat vs. Celtics Prediction (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Mavericks vs. Clippers Prediction (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 1, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 1, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of our NBA first basket picks for Wednesday, May 1, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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