NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Wednesday 4/3/2024

It's time for a big day of NBA Playoffs action, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Wednesday, April 3, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature star players such as Deandre Ayton, Cade Cunningham and Giannis Antetokounmpo, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Wednesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on April 3.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 3, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	18.0%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)	17.9%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	15.8%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	15.2%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	15.1%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	15.0%
Devin Booker (Suns)	14.3%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	13.6%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	13.4%
Kyle Kuzma (Wizards)	13.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Deandre Ayton, with a probability of 18.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Cade Cunningham, with a 17.9% probability, and Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a 15.8% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, which does not always mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 4/3/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Wednesday.

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1. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Game: Raptors vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Raptors and Timberwolves. The bet is on RJ Barrett (TOR) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 5.2%.

The next two recommended bets are for Jalen Williams (5.0% edge) to score first in the Thunder vs. Celtics game and Cade Cunningham (4.6%) to score the first basket in the Pistons vs. Hawks matchup.

2. Jalen Williams To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 12.7%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday comes in the Thunder vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 5.0% on Jalen Williams (OKC) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's Best NBA Bets

3. Cade Cunningham To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 17.9%
• Matchup: Pistons vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Wednesday comes in the Pistons vs. Hawks game, where our model has found an edge of 4.6% on Cade Cunningham (DET) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Deni Avdija To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 10.5%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Lakers vs. Wizards game, where our model has found an edge of 2.8% on Deni Avdija (WAS) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 12.1%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for today is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +950 in the Thunder vs. Celtics game. Here, our model has found an edge of 2.5% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Wednesday slate:

• Lakers vs. Wizards Prediction (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Thunder vs. Celtics Prediction (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Pistons vs. Hawks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Raptors vs. Timberwolves Prediction (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Grizzlies vs. Bucks Prediction (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cavaliers vs. Suns Prediction (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 3, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 3, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, April 3, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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