NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Wednesday, 4/17/2024]

We have another big day of NBA basketball ahead of us, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Wednesday, April 17, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA slate features players such as Joel Embiid, DeMar DeRozan and Dejounte Murray, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on April 17.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 17, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Joel Embiid (76ers)	16.0%
DeMar DeRozan (Bulls)	13.6%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	13.3%
Tyler Herro (Heat)	12.5%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	11.8%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	11.6%
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls)	10.6%
Nikola Jovic (Heat)	10.1%
Bogdan Bogdanovic (Hawks)	10.0%
Ayo Dosunmu (Bulls)	9.9%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Joel Embiid, with a probability of 16.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are DeMar DeRozan, with a 13.6% probability, and Dejounte Murray, with a 13.3% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, it does not always indicate they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 4/17/2024

Having simulated the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Wednesday.

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1. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 12.5%
• Matchup: Heat vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Heat and 76ers. The bet is on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.2%.

The next two recommended bets are for Nikola Jovic (3.4% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. 76ers game and DeMar DeRozan (1.9%) to score the first basket in the Hawks vs. Bulls matchup.

2. Nikola Jovic To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400
• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 10.1%
• Game: Heat vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Heat vs. 76ers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.4% on Nikola Jovic (MIA) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's Best NBA Bets

3. DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 1.9%
• Probability: 13.6%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Bulls (9:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Hawks vs. Bulls game, where our model has found an edge of 1.9% on DeMar DeRozan (CHI) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Dejounte Murray To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 0.8%
• Probability: 13.3%
• Game: Hawks vs. Bulls (9:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA action comes in the Hawks vs. Bulls game, where our model has found an edge of 0.8% on Dejounte Murray (ATL) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Ayo Dosunmu To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 9.9%
• Game: Hawks vs. Bulls (9:30PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Wednesday is Ayo Dosunmu (CHI) at odds of +950 in the Hawks vs. Bulls game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.4% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Wednesday slate:

• Heat vs. 76ers Prediction (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Hawks vs. Bulls Prediction (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 17, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 17, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Wednesday, April 17, are made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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