NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Wednesday 4/10/2024

It's time for a big day of NBA Playoffs basketball, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Wednesday, April 10, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature star players such as Nikola Jokic, Victor Wembanyama and Kevin Durant, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Wednesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 10.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 10, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	15.3%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	15.0%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	14.0%
Devin Booker (Suns)	13.7%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	13.7%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	13.6%
RJ Barrett (Raptors)	13.6%
Damian Lillard (Bucks)	13.3%
Paolo Banchero (Magic)	13.2%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)	12.8%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Nikola Jokic, with a probability of 15.3%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Victor Wembanyama, with a 15.0% probability, and Kevin Durant, with a 14.0% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, which does not always indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Wednesday 4/10/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Wednesday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 12.5%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Timberwolves and Nuggets. The bet is on Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.4%.

The next two recommended plays are for Daniel Gafford (1.1% edge) to score first in the Mavericks vs. Heat game and Naz Reid (0.3%) to score the first basket in the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets matchup.

2. Daniel Gafford To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 11.1%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Mavericks vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 1.1% on Daniel Gafford (DAL) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's Best NBA Bets

3. Naz Reid To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 12.1%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.3% on Naz Reid (MIN) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Wednesday's NBA Prop Picks

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Wednesday slate:

• Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 10, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 10, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, April 10, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.