NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Wednesday 3/20/2024

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA action, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Wednesday, March 20, 2024.

Wednesday's NBA slate features big names such as Deandre Ayton, De'Aaron Fox and Jonathan Kuminga, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Wednesday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 20.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 20, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Wednesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	16.9%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.8%
Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)	15.5%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	15.4%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	15.2%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	14.4%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	14.0%
Stephen Curry (Warriors)	13.9%
Damian Lillard (Bucks)	13.8%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	13.6%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Deandre Ayton, with a probability of 16.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.8% probability, and Jonathan Kuminga, with a 15.5% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Wednesday, which does not always mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Wednesday 3/20/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Wednesday.

1. Keyonte George To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 4.7%
• Probability: 13%
• Game: Jazz vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Wednesday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Jazz and Thunder. The bet is on Keyonte George (UTA) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.7%.

The next two suggested plays are for Jonathan Kuminga (4.4% edge) to score first in the Grizzlies vs. Warriors game and Tyrese Maxey (4.1%) to score the first basket in the 76ers vs. Suns matchup.

2. Jonathan Kuminga To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 15.5%
• Game: Grizzlies vs. Warriors (10:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Grizzlies vs. Warriors game, where our model has found an edge of 4.4% on Jonathan Kuminga (GSW) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Wednesday's Best NBA Bets](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-wednesday-3202024]

3. Tyrese Maxey To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 15.2%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Suns (10:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the 76ers vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 4.1% on Tyrese Maxey (PHI) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Wednesday's NBA Prop Picks](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-wednesday-march-20-2024]

4. Khris Middleton To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Bucks vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 2.9% on Khris Middleton (MIL) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Kelly Oubre To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 12.7%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Suns (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Wednesday is Kelly Oubre (PHI) at odds of +850 in the 76ers vs. Suns game. Here, our model has found an edge of 2.2% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Wednesday slate:

• Pacers vs. Pistons Prediction (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Heat vs. Cavaliers Prediction (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Bucks vs. Celtics Prediction (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Kings vs. Raptors Prediction (7:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Jazz vs. Thunder Prediction (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Grizzlies vs. Warriors Prediction (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• 76ers vs. Suns Prediction (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Clippers vs. Trail Blazers Prediction (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 20, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 20, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, March 20, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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