NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Tuesday, 5/7/2024]

Another big day of NBA Playoffs action is on the menu, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Tuesday, May 7, 2024.

Tuesday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase big names such as Jaylen Brown, Donovan Mitchell and Luka Doncic, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Tuesday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on May 7.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 7, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Tuesday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	14.4%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	14.2%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	13.6%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	13.0%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	12.9%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)	12.0%
Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)	10.5%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	10.5%
Derrick White (Celtics)	10.0%
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)	9.8%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 14.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Donovan Mitchell, with a 14.2% probability, and Luka Doncic, with a 13.6% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Tuesday, which does not always mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Tuesday 5/7/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Tuesday.

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1. Kyrie Irving To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Mavericks and Thunder. The bet is on Kyrie Irving (DAL) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.8%.

The next two recommended bets are for Derrick White (1.7% edge) to score first in the Cavaliers vs. Celtics game and P.J. Washington (0.0%) to score the first basket in the Mavericks vs. Thunder matchup.

2. Derrick White To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 10%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Celtics (7:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Cavaliers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Tuesday's Best NBA Bets

3. P.J. Washington To Score First Basket (+1600)

• Odds: +1600
• Edge: 0.0%
• Probability: 5.9%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Thunder (9:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Mavericks vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 0.0% on P.J. Washington (DAL) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Tuesday's NBA Prop Picks

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Tuesday slate:

• Cavaliers vs. Celtics Prediction (7:00PM ET, Tuesday)
• Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction (9:30PM ET, Tuesday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 7, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 7, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Tuesday, May 7, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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