NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Thursday 4/4/2024

We have another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Thursday, April 4, 2024.

Thursday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase players such as Jalen Brunson, Joel Embiid and Paul George, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Thursday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 4.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 4, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	18.2%
Joel Embiid (76ers)	16.5%
Paul George (Clippers)	14.8%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	14.8%
Jalen Green (Rockets)	14.7%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	13.8%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	13.6%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	13.6%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	13.1%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	12.6%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 18.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Joel Embiid, with a 16.5% probability, and Paul George, with a 14.8% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, which does not necessarily mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 4/4/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Thursday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Norman Powell To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 11.6%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Clippers (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Nuggets and Clippers. The bet is on Norman Powell (LAC) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.5%.

The next two recommended bets are for Terry Rozier (2.5% edge) to score first in the 76ers vs. Heat game and Stephen Curry (2.0%) to score the first basket in the Warriors vs. Rockets matchup.

2. Terry Rozier To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 12.5%
• Game: 76ers vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the 76ers vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 2.5% on Terry Rozier (MIA) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Thursday's Best NBA Bets

3. Stephen Curry To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 12%
• Game: Warriors vs. Rockets (8:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Warriors vs. Rockets game, where our model has found an edge of 2.0% on Stephen Curry (GSW) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Thursday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+500)

• Odds: +500
• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 18.3%
• Game: Kings vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Kings vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on Jalen Brunson (NYK) at odds of +500 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Paul George To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 14.8%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Clippers (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Thursday is Paul George (LAC) at odds of +650 in the Nuggets vs. Clippers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.5% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Thursday slate:

• 76ers vs. Heat Prediction (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Kings vs. Knicks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Hawks vs. Mavericks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Warriors vs. Rockets Prediction (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Nuggets vs. Clippers Prediction (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 4, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 4, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Thursday, April 4, have been made after rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.