NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Thursday 4/11/2024

It's time for a big day of NBA Playoffs basketball, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Thursday, April 11, 2024.

Thursday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature star players such as Deandre Ayton, Jalen Brunson and Cade Cunningham, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Thursday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on April 11.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 11, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	18.5%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	17.0%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)	16.8%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.8%
DeMar DeRozan (Bulls)	14.1%
CJ McCollum (Pelicans)	13.2%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	13.1%
Zion Williamson (Pelicans)	13.0%
Klay Thompson (Warriors)	12.7%
Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans)	12.5%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Deandre Ayton, with a probability of 18.5%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jalen Brunson, with a 17.0% probability, and Cade Cunningham, with a 16.8% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Thursday, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 4/11/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Thursday.

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1. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 17%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Thursday, which is in the game between the Knicks and Celtics. The bet is on Jalen Brunson (NYK) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.6%.

The next two recommended bets are for Cade Cunningham (3.4% edge) to score first in the Bulls vs. Pistons game and Klay Thompson (2.1%) to score the first basket in the Warriors vs. Trail Blazers matchup.

2. Cade Cunningham To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 16.8%
• Game: Bulls vs. Pistons (7:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Thursday comes in the Bulls vs. Pistons game, where our model has found an edge of 3.4% on Cade Cunningham (DET) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Thursday's Best NBA Bets

3. Klay Thompson To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 12.7%
• Matchup: Warriors vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Thursday comes in the Warriors vs. Trail Blazers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.1% on Klay Thompson (GSW) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Thursday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Donte DiVincenzo To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 10.4%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Knicks vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 2.1% on Donte DiVincenzo (NYK) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. OG Anunoby To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 0.1%
• Probability: 8.4%
• Game: Knicks vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is OG Anunoby (NYK) at odds of +1100 in the Knicks vs. Celtics game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Thursday slate:

• Bulls vs. Pistons Prediction (7:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Knicks vs. Celtics Prediction (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• Warriors vs. Trail Blazers Prediction (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 11, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 11, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Thursday, April 11, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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