NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Thursday 3/14/2024

We have another big day of professional hoops ahead of us, and we've simulated every game thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Thursday, March 14, 2024.

Thursday's NBA slate features big names such as Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jaylen Brown and Jalen Brunson, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Thursday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 14.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 14, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Thursday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	19.0%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	17.5%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	15.7%
Kyle Kuzma (Wizards)	15.6%
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls)	15.4%
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	15.3%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	15.2%
Jalen Green (Rockets)	15.1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	14.5%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	14.0%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a probability of 19.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jaylen Brown, with a 17.5% probability, and Jalen Brunson, with a 15.7% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Thursday, which does not always mean that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Thursday 3/14/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Thursday.

1. Kyrie Irving To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 14%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Thunder (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Mavericks and Thunder. The bet is on Kyrie Irving (DAL) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.5%.

The next two suggested bets are for Jaylen Brown (4.2% edge) to score first in the Suns vs. Celtics game and Daniel Gafford (2.3%) to score the first basket in the Mavericks vs. Thunder matchup.

2. Jaylen Brown To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 17.5%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Suns vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 4.2% on Jaylen Brown (BOS) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Thursday's Best NBA Bets](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-thursday-3142024]

3. Daniel Gafford To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Thunder (10:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Mavericks vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Daniel Gafford (DAL) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Thursday's NBA Prop Picks](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-thursday-march-14-2024]

4. Kelly Oubre To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 12.2%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the 76ers vs. Bucks game, where our model has found an edge of 2.2% on Kelly Oubre (PHI) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Tyrese Maxey To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 1.9%
• Probability: 15.2%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for today is Tyrese Maxey (PHI) at odds of +650 in the 76ers vs. Bucks game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.9% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Thursday slate:

• Suns vs. Celtics Prediction (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
• 76ers vs. Bucks Prediction (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Clippers vs. Bulls Prediction (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Wizards vs. Rockets Prediction (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Knicks vs. Trail Blazers Prediction (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 14, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 14, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Thursday, March 14, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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