NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Sunday 4/7/2024

Another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs action is on the menu, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Sunday, April 7, 2024.

Sunday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase big names such as Deandre Ayton, Paul George and Jalen Brunson, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on April 7.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 7, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	18.0%
Paul George (Clippers)	17.2%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	17.0%
Joel Embiid (76ers)	16.9%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	15.6%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	15.4%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	15.0%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.7%
Devin Booker (Suns)	14.6%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)	14.5%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Deandre Ayton, with a probability of 18.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Paul George, with a 17.2% probability, and Jalen Brunson, with a 17.0% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Sunday, it does not always mean they are suggested bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Sunday 4/7/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our independent predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Sunday.

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1. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 17%
• Game: Knicks vs. Bucks (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Knicks and Bucks. The bet is on Jalen Brunson (NYK) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.5%.

The next two recommended bets are for Pascal Siakam (3.6% edge) to score first in the Heat vs. Pacers game and Scoot Henderson (3.1%) to score the first basket in the Trail Blazers vs. Celtics matchup.

2. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 15.4%
• Matchup: Heat vs. Pacers (5:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Sunday comes in the Heat vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.6% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Sunday's Best NBA Bets

3. Scoot Henderson To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Game: Trail Blazers vs. Celtics (6:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Trail Blazers vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 3.1% on Scoot Henderson (POR) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Sunday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Paul George To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 17.2%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Clippers (3:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Cavaliers vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.9% on Paul George (LAC) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 12.2%
• Game: Bulls vs. Magic (6:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Sunday is DeMar DeRozan (CHI) at odds of +900 in the Bulls vs. Magic game. Here, our model has found an edge of 2.2% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Sunday slate:

• Cavaliers vs. Clippers Prediction (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockets vs. Mavericks Prediction (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Heat vs. Pacers Prediction (5:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Celtics Prediction (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Bulls vs. Magic Prediction (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Wizards vs. Raptors Prediction (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Knicks vs. Bucks Prediction (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Jazz vs. Warriors Prediction (8:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Timberwolves vs. Lakers Prediction (10:00PM ET, Sunday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 7, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 7, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of our NBA first basket picks for Sunday, April 7, are made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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