NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Sunday, 4/28/2024]

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA Playoffs action, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Sunday, April 28, 2024.

Sunday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature star players such as Jalen Brunson, Pascal Siakam and Joel Embiid, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Sunday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 28.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 28, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	16.7%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	15.4%
Joel Embiid (76ers)	14.5%
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)	14.3%
Bobby Portis (Bucks)	14.0%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	13.6%
Khris Middleton (Bucks)	13.6%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	13.6%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	13.3%
Bradley Beal (Suns)	12.8%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 16.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Pascal Siakam, with a 15.4% probability, and Joel Embiid, with a 14.5% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Sunday, which does not always mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Sunday 4/28/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Sunday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 16.7%
• Matchup: Knicks vs. 76ers (1:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Knicks and 76ers. The bet is on Jalen Brunson (NYK) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.4%.

The next two recommended bets are for Bradley Beal (2.3% edge) to score first in the Timberwolves vs. Suns game and Pascal Siakam (2.1%) to score the first basket in the Bucks vs. Pacers matchup.

2. Bradley Beal To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Suns (9:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Timberwolves vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Bradley Beal (PHX) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Sunday's Best NBA Bets

3. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 15.4%
• Game: Bucks vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Sunday comes in the Bucks vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.1% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Sunday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 14.3%
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Suns (9:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Sunday's NBA action comes in the Timberwolves vs. Suns game, where our model has found an edge of 1.8% on Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Kawhi Leonard To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 12.4%
• Matchup: Clippers vs. Mavericks (3:30PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Sunday is Kawhi Leonard (LAC) at odds of +800 in the Clippers vs. Mavericks game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.3% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Sunday slate:

• Knicks vs. 76ers Prediction (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Clippers vs. Mavericks Prediction (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Bucks vs. Pacers Prediction (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Timberwolves vs. Suns Prediction (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 28, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 28, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Sunday, April 28, are generated after thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.