NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Sunday 4/14/2024

Another big day of NBA Playoffs action is on the cards, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Sunday, April 14, 2024.

Sunday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase star players such as Jalen Brunson, Paul George and Olivier-Maxence Prosper, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 14.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 14, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	17.9%
Paul George (Clippers)	15.3%
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Mavericks)	15.2%
Zach Collins (Spurs)	14.9%
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)	14.7%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	14.7%
Payton Pritchard (Celtics)	14.6%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	14.4%
Bobby Portis (Bucks)	14.4%
DeMar DeRozan (Bulls)	14.2%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 17.9%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Paul George, with a 15.3% probability, and Olivier-Maxence Prosper, with a 15.2% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Sunday, which does not necessarily indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Sunday 4/14/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Sunday.

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1. Olivier-Maxence Prosper To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400
• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 15.2%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Thunder (3:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Mavericks and Thunder. The bet is on Olivier-Maxence Prosper (DAL) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 8.6%.

The next two suggested bets are for Jaden Hardy (5.3% edge) to score first in the Mavericks vs. Thunder game and Paul George (3.5%) to score the first basket in the Rockets vs. Clippers matchup.

2. Jaden Hardy To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 5.3%
• Probability: 13.6%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Thunder (3:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Mavericks vs. Thunder game, where our model has found an edge of 5.3% on Jaden Hardy (DAL) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Sunday's Best NBA Bets

3. Paul George To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 15.3%
• Game: Rockets vs. Clippers (3:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Rockets vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.5% on Paul George (LAC) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Sunday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Jordan Poole To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Game: Wizards vs. Celtics (1:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Sunday's NBA action comes in the Wizards vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 2.8% on Jordan Poole (WAS) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 2.5%
• Probability: 14.2%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Knicks (1:00PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is DeMar DeRozan (CHI) at odds of +750 in the Bulls vs. Knicks game. Here, our model has found an edge of 2.5% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Sunday slate:

• Wizards vs. Celtics Prediction (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Bulls vs. Knicks Prediction (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Bucks vs. Magic Prediction (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Raptors vs. Heat Prediction (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Rockets vs. Clippers Prediction (3:30PM ET, Sunday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 14, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 14, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Sunday, April 14, have been generated thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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