NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Sunday 3/31/2024

It's time for a exciting day of NBA action, and we've simulated every matchup 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Sunday, March 31, 2024.

Sunday's NBA slate features star players such as Jalen Brunson, Cam Thomas and Collin Sexton, each with a high probability of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for NBA fans to bet on, and by using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 31.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 31, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	18.6%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	15.4%
Collin Sexton (Jazz)	15.2%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	14.8%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	14.5%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	14.3%
Jalen Green (Rockets)	14.2%
John Collins (Jazz)	14.0%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.0%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	13.6%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 18.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Cam Thomas, with a 15.4% probability, and Collin Sexton, with a 15.2% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Sunday, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Sunday 3/31/2024

Having simulated the result of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket betting picks for Sunday.

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1. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 18.6%
• Game: Thunder vs. Knicks (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Thunder and Knicks. The bet is on Jalen Brunson (NY) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.3%.

The next two recommended plays are for RJ Barrett (4.3% edge) to score first in the 76ers vs. Raptors game and Amen Thompson (2.0%) to score the first basket in the Mavericks vs. Rockets matchup.

2. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 13.4%
• Matchup: 76ers vs. Raptors (6:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the 76ers vs. Raptors game, where our model has found an edge of 4.3% on RJ Barrett (TOR) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Sunday's Best NBA Bets

3. Amen Thompson To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 11.1%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Rockets (7:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Mavericks vs. Rockets game, where our model has found an edge of 2.0% on Amen Thompson (HOU) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Sunday's NBA Prop Picks

4. DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 1.7%
• Probability: 12.2%
• Game: Bulls vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Sunday's NBA action comes in the Bulls vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 1.7% on DeMar DeRozan (CHI) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Nikola Vucevic To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 11.5%
• Game: Bulls vs. Timberwolves (7:00PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Sunday is Nikola Vucevic (CHI) at odds of +900 in the Bulls vs. Timberwolves game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.5% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Sunday slate:

• Cavaliers vs. Nuggets Prediction (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• 76ers vs. Raptors Prediction (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Thunder vs. Knicks Prediction (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Mavericks vs. Rockets Prediction (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Bulls vs. Timberwolves Prediction (7:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Jazz vs. Kings Prediction (9:00PM ET, Sunday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 31, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 31, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Sunday, March 31, are the result of rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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