NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Sunday 3/17/2024

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA action, and we've simulated every game 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Sunday, March 17, 2024.

Sunday's NBA slate is expected to showcase players such as Jaylen Brown, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Dejounte Murray, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Sunday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 17.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 17, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Sunday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	16.8%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	15.8%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	15.5%
Kyle Kuzma (Wizards)	15.2%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	14.4%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	14.2%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	13.7%
Kawhi Leonard (Clippers)	13.6%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)	13.6%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	13.0%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 16.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Giannis Antetokounmpo, with a 15.8% probability, and Dejounte Murray, with a 15.5% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Sunday, which does not always mean that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Sunday 3/17/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Sunday.

1. Bradley Beal To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 11.1%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Bucks (1:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Sunday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Suns and Bucks. The bet is on Bradley Beal (PHX) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.4%.

The next two recommended bets are for Dejounte Murray (3.0% edge) to score first in the Hawks vs. Clippers game and Khris Middleton (2.3%) to score the first basket in the Suns vs. Bucks matchup.

2. Dejounte Murray To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 15.5%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Clippers (9:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Sunday comes in the Hawks vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.0% on Dejounte Murray (ATL) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Sunday's Best NBA Bets](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-sunday-3172024]

3. Khris Middleton To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 10.6%
• Game: Suns vs. Bucks (1:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Sunday comes in the Suns vs. Bucks game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Khris Middleton (MIL) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Sunday's NBA Prop Picks](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-sunday-march-17-2024]

4. Daniel Gafford To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 11.1%
• Game: Nuggets vs. Mavericks (3:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Nuggets vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 2.0% on Daniel Gafford (DAL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Simone Fontecchio To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 10.1%
• Game: Heat vs. Pistons (3:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for today is Simone Fontecchio (DET) at odds of +1100 in the Heat vs. Pistons game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.8% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Sunday slate:

• Suns vs. Bucks Prediction (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Heat vs. Pistons Prediction (3:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction (3:30PM ET, Sunday)
• Raptors vs. Magic Prediction (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Celtics vs. Wizards Prediction (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
• Hawks vs. Clippers Prediction (9:30PM ET, Sunday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 17, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 17, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Sunday, March 17, are generated after rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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