NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Saturday, 5/11/2024]

Another exciting day of NBA Playoffs basketball is on the menu, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Saturday, May 11, 2024.

Saturday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase big names such as Jaylen Brown, Donovan Mitchell and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Saturday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on May 11.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 11, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	15.6%
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers)	14.9%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	14.2%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	14.1%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)	11.9%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)	11.1%
Derrick White (Celtics)	10.9%
Chet Holmgren (Thunder)	10.3%
Jayson Tatum (Celtics)	10.2%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)	8.9%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 15.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Donovan Mitchell, with a 14.9% probability, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 14.2% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Saturday, it does not always indicate they are recommended bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 5/11/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Derrick White To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 1.8%
• Probability: 10.9%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Cavaliers (8:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday, which is in the game between the Celtics and Cavaliers. The bet is on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 1.8%.

The next two recommended bets are for P.J. Washington (1.5% edge) to score first in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (0.8%) to score the first basket, also in the Thunder-Mavericks matchup.

2. P.J. Washington To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400
• Edge: 1.5%
• Probability: 8.2%
• Game: Thunder vs. Mavericks (3:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 1.5% on P.J. Washington (DAL) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Saturday's Best NBA Bets

3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.8%
• Probability: 14.2%
• Game: Thunder vs. Mavericks (3:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Saturday comes in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.8% on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Saturday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Jaylen Brown To Score First Basket (+550)

• Odds: +550
• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 15.6%
• Game: Celtics vs. Cavaliers (8:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Celtics vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on Jaylen Brown (BOS) at odds of +550 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Saturday slate:

• Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction (3:30PM ET, Saturday)
• Celtics vs. Cavaliers Prediction (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 11, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 11, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Saturday, May 11, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.