NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Saturday 4/6/2024

It's time for a action-packed day of NBA Playoffs basketball, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Saturday, April 6, 2024.

Saturday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature big names such as Cade Cunningham, Joel Embiid and Nikola Jokic, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Saturday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 6.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 6, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)	17.1%
Joel Embiid (76ers)	16.3%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	15.6%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	14.6%
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)	13.1%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	12.8%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	12.5%
LeBron James (Lakers)	12.1%
Evan Mobley (Cavaliers)	12.0%
Jaden Ivey (Pistons)	11.7%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Cade Cunningham, with a probability of 17.1%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Joel Embiid, with a 16.3% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 15.6% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Saturday, it does not always indicate they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Today: Saturday 4/6/2024

Having simulated the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Saturday.

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1. Dejounte Murray To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 12.8%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Saturday, which is in the game between the Hawks and Nuggets. The bet is on Dejounte Murray (ATL) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.8%.

The next two suggested bets are for Darius Garland (1.2% edge) to score first in the Cavaliers vs. Lakers game and Bogdan Bogdanovic (0.6%) to score the first basket in the Hawks vs. Nuggets matchup.

2. Darius Garland To Score First Basket (+1300)

• Odds: +1300
• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 8.4%
• Matchup: Cavaliers vs. Lakers (3:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Saturday comes in the Cavaliers vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.2% on Darius Garland (CLE) at odds of +1300 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Saturday's Best NBA Bets

3. Bogdan Bogdanovic To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 9.6%
• Matchup: Hawks vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Saturday comes in the Hawks vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on Bogdan Bogdanovic (ATL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Saturday's NBA Prop Picks

4. D'Angelo Russell To Score First Basket (+1200)

• Odds: +1200
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 8.1%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Lakers (3:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Cavaliers vs. Lakers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.4% on D'Angelo Russell (LAL) at odds of +1200 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Rui Hachimura To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 10.3%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Lakers (3:30PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is Rui Hachimura (LAL) at odds of +900 in the Cavaliers vs. Lakers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.3% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Saturday slate:

• Cavaliers vs. Lakers Prediction (3:30PM ET, Saturday)
• 76ers vs. Grizzlies Prediction (8:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Hawks vs. Nuggets Prediction (9:00PM ET, Saturday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 6, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 6, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Saturday, April 6, are generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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