NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Saturday, 4/27/2024]

It's time for a big day of NBA Playoffs action, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket predictions and odds for Saturday, April 27, 2024.

Saturday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature star players such as Paolo Banchero, Nikola Jokic and Jaylen Brown, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Saturday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 27.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 27, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Saturday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Paolo Banchero (Magic)	14.5%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	14.4%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	13.6%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	13.4%
LeBron James (Lakers)	13.3%
Franz Wagner (Magic)	13.1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	12.9%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)	12.9%
CJ McCollum (Pelicans)	12.8%
Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans)	12.4%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Paolo Banchero, with a probability of 14.5%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Nikola Jokic, with a 14.4% probability, and Jaylen Brown, with a 13.6% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Saturday, which does not necessarily mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Saturday 4/27/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Saturday.

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1. Nikola Jovic To Score First Basket (+1400)

• Odds: +1400
• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 9.8%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Heat (6:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Celtics and Heat. The bet is on Nikola Jovic (MIA) at odds of +1400 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.1%.

The next two recommended bets are for Paolo Banchero (2.7% edge) to score first in the Cavaliers vs. Magic game and Tyler Herro (2.2%) to score the first basket in the Celtics vs. Heat matchup.

2. Paolo Banchero To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 14.5%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Magic (1:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Saturday comes in the Cavaliers vs. Magic game, where our model has found an edge of 2.7% on Paolo Banchero (ORL) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Saturday's Best NBA Bets

3. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.2%
• Probability: 11.3%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Heat (6:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Saturday comes in the Celtics vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 2.2% on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Saturday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Darius Garland To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 9.6%
• Game: Cavaliers vs. Magic (1:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Saturday's NBA action comes in the Cavaliers vs. Magic game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Darius Garland (CLE) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 1.1%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Lakers (8:30PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for today is Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +750 in the Nuggets vs. Lakers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.1% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Saturday slate:

• Cavaliers vs. Magic Prediction (1:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Celtics vs. Heat Prediction (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 27, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 27, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, April 27, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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