NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Monday, 5/6/2024]

It's time for a exciting day of NBA Playoffs action, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, May 6, 2024.

Monday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase star players such as Jalen Brunson, Anthony Edwards and Nikola Jokic, each with a high probability of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on May 6.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 6, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 16.7%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Anthony Edwards, with a 15.0% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 14.4% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, it does not always indicate they are suggested bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 5/6/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

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1. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 13.9%
• Game: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday, which is in the game between the Timberwolves and Nuggets. The bet is on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.3%.

The next two recommended bets are for Pascal Siakam (0.7% edge) to score first in the Pacers vs. Knicks game and Anthony Edwards (0.7%) to score the first basket in the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets matchup.

2. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+650)

• Odds: +650
• Edge: 0.7%
• Probability: 14.1%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Monday comes in the Pacers vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.7% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Monday's Best NBA Bets

3. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 0.7%
• Probability: 15%
• Matchup: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.7% on Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Monday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 0.5%
• Probability: 9.6%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Monday's NBA action comes in the Pacers vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.5% on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Monday slate:

• Pacers vs. Knicks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Prediction (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: May 6, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 6, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Monday, May 6, are made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

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