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NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Monday, 5/13/2024]
We have another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, May 13, 2024.
Monday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature big names such as Jaylen Brown, Donovan Mitchell and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.
NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for sports fans to bet on, and by using Monday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.
This article will provide you with a list of players that our predictive analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on May 13.
For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 13, 2024
Thanks to simulating each one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Jaylen Brown (Celtics) | 15.8% |
Donovan Mitchell (Cavaliers) | 15.0% |
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder) | 13.9% |
Luka Doncic (Mavericks) | 13.4% |
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks) | 12.6% |
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers) | 11.9% |
Jalen Williams (Thunder) | 11.4% |
Jayson Tatum (Celtics) | 11.0% |
Derrick White (Celtics) | 10.7% |
Chet Holmgren (Thunder) | 10.3% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 15.8%.
Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Donovan Mitchell, with a 15.0% probability, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, with a 13.9% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, which does not necessarily indicate that our model, DimersBOT, recommends betting on them.
To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.
Best First Basket Picks Today: Monday 5/13/2024
Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.
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1. Derrick White To Score First Basket (+1100)
- Odds: +1100
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 10.7%
- Game: Celtics vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Celtics and Cavaliers. The bet is on Derrick White (BOS) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.3%.
The next two recommended bets are for Kyrie Irving (0.8% edge) to score first in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (0.6%) to score the first basket, also in the Thunder-Mavericks matchup.
2. Kyrie Irving To Score First Basket (+750)
- Odds: +750
- Edge: 0.8%
- Probability: 12.6%
- Matchup: Thunder vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)
The next best NBA first basket bet for Monday comes in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.8% on Kyrie Irving (DAL) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
MORE: Monday's Best NBA Bets
3. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander To Score First Basket (+650)
- Odds: +650
- Edge: 0.6%
- Probability: 13.9%
- Matchup: Thunder vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)
Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC) at odds of +650 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
MORE: Monday's NBA Prop Picks
4. P.J. Washington To Score First Basket (+1000)
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 0.2%
- Probability: 9.3%
- Matchup: Thunder vs. Mavericks (9:30PM ET)
The next best first basket bet for Monday's NBA action comes in the Thunder vs. Mavericks game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on P.J. Washington (DAL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.
Today's NBA Games
For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Monday slate:
- Celtics vs. Cavaliers Prediction (7:00PM ET, Monday)
- Thunder vs. Mavericks Prediction (9:30PM ET, Monday)
Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: May 13, 2024
This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 13, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, May 13, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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