NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Monday, 4/29/2024]

We have another action-packed day of NBA Playoffs ahead of us, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, April 29, 2024.

Monday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature players such as Jaylen Brown, LeBron James and Nikola Jokic, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on April 29.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 29, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	13.8%
LeBron James (Lakers)	13.7%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	13.4%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	13.2%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)	13.1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)	12.9%
CJ McCollum (Pelicans)	12.8%
Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans)	12.2%
Jalen Williams (Thunder)	12.0%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	11.9%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket today is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 13.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are LeBron James, with a 13.7% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 13.4% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, which does not necessarily indicate that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 4/29/2024

Having simulated the outcome of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Monday.

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1. Tyler Herro To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 11.2%
• Game: Celtics vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Celtics and Heat. The bet is on Tyler Herro (MIA) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.1%.

The next two suggested bets are for Nikola Jovic (1.6% edge) to score first in the Celtics vs. Heat game and LeBron James (1.2%) to score the first basket in the Lakers vs. Nuggets matchup.

2. Nikola Jovic To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 9.9%
• Game: Celtics vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Celtics vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on Nikola Jovic (MIA) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Monday's Best NBA Bets

3. LeBron James To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 1.2%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Game: Lakers vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Lakers vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.2% on LeBron James (LAL) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Monday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 0.6%
• Probability: 13.1%
• Game: Lakers vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Lakers vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.6% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope To Score First Basket (+1600)

• Odds: +1600
• Edge: 0.4%
• Probability: 6.2%
• Game: Lakers vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DEN) at odds of +1600 in the Lakers vs. Nuggets game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.4% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Monday slate:

• Celtics vs. Heat Prediction (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: April 29, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 29, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of our NBA first basket picks for Monday, April 29, have been made thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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