NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Monday, 4/22/2024]

It's time for a big day of NBA action, and we've simulated every game thousands of times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, April 22, 2024.

Monday's NBA slate is expected to showcase big names such as Jalen Brunson, Joel Embiid and Nikola Jokic, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 22.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 22, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	17.0%
Joel Embiid (76ers)	15.2%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	15.0%
Franz Wagner (Magic)	14.1%
Paolo Banchero (Magic)	13.7%
LeBron James (Lakers)	13.0%
Jarrett Allen (Cavaliers)	12.9%
Jamal Murray (Nuggets)	12.4%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	12.4%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	12.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 17.0%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Joel Embiid, with a 15.2% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 15.0% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Monday, it does not necessarily mean they are suggested bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 4/22/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

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1. Paolo Banchero To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 3.7%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Game: Magic vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Magic and Cavaliers. The bet is on Paolo Banchero (ORL) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.7%.

The next two suggested bets are for Franz Wagner (3.0% edge) to score first in the Magic vs. Cavaliers game and Jalen Brunson (2.7%) to score the first basket in the 76ers vs. Knicks matchup.

2. Franz Wagner To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 14.1%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today also comes in the Magic vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.0% on Franz Wagner (ORL) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Monday's Best NBA Bets

3. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 2.7%
• Probability: 17%
• Game: 76ers vs. Knicks (7:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the 76ers vs. Knicks game, where our model has found an edge of 2.7% on Jalen Brunson (NYK) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Monday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Jalen Suggs To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 10.9%
• Game: Magic vs. Cavaliers (7:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Magic vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 1.4% on Jalen Suggs (ORL) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. LeBron James To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 0.5%
• Probability: 13%
• Game: Lakers vs. Nuggets (10:00PM ET)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for Monday is LeBron James (LAL) at odds of +700 in the Lakers vs. Nuggets game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.5% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Monday slate:

• Magic vs. Cavaliers Prediction (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• 76ers vs. Knicks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Lakers vs. Nuggets Prediction (10:00PM ET, Monday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 22, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 22, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Monday, April 22, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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