NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Monday 3/25/2024

Another big day of NBA basketball is on the cards, and we've simulated all of today's matchups 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Monday, March 25, 2024.

Monday's NBA slate is expected to showcase big names such as Jalen Brunson, Deandre Ayton and De'Aaron Fox, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on March 25.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 25, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	17.4%
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	15.9%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.5%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	14.8%
Jalen Green (Rockets)	14.7%
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)	14.7%
Tyrese Maxey (76ers)	14.6%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	14.5%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	14.2%
Dejounte Murray (Hawks)	14.1%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is Jalen Brunson, with a probability of 17.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Deandre Ayton, with a 15.9% probability, and De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.5% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, it does not necessarily indicate they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 3/25/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA matchups 10K times each, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. Dejounte Murray To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 14.1%
• Game: Celtics vs. Hawks (7:30PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Monday's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Celtics and Hawks. The bet is on Dejounte Murray (ATL) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.6%.

The next two recommended bets are for De'Aaron Fox (3.0% edge) to score first in the 76ers vs. Kings game and Pascal Siakam (2.3%) to score the first basket in the Pacers vs. Clippers matchup.

2. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 15.5%
• Game: 76ers vs. Kings (10:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the 76ers vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 3.0% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Monday's Best NBA Bets](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-monday-3252024]

3. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+700)

• Odds: +700
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 14.8%
• Matchup: Pacers vs. Clippers (10:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Pacers vs. Clippers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +700 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

**MORE: [Monday's NBA Prop Picks](https://www.dimers.com/news/nba-picks-today-and-best-bets-monday-march-25-2024]

4. Jamal Murray To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 1.6%
• Probability: 11.6%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Nuggets (9:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Monday's NBA action comes in the Grizzlies vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 1.6% on Jamal Murray (DEN) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Collin Sexton To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 1.4%
• Probability: 13.1%
• Matchup: Mavericks vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Monday is Collin Sexton (UTA) at odds of +750 in the Mavericks vs. Jazz game. Here, our model has found an edge of 1.4% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Monday slate:

• Celtics vs. Hawks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Pistons vs. Knicks Prediction (7:30PM ET, Monday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Rockets Prediction (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Wizards vs. Bulls Prediction (8:00PM ET, Monday)
• Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Prediction (9:00PM ET, Monday)
• Mavericks vs. Jazz Prediction (9:00PM ET, Monday)
• 76ers vs. Kings Prediction (10:00PM ET, Monday)
• Pacers vs. Clippers Prediction (10:30PM ET, Monday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 25, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 25, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Monday, March 25, have been generated after thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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