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NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Monday 3/11/2024

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Written by Kevin Hansen
NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Monday 3/11/2024

Another exciting day of NBA basketball is on the menu, and we've simulated each game thousands of times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, March 11, 2024.

Monday's NBA slate features players such as Jaylen Brown, Luka Doncic and Cade Cunningham, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the more popular options for basketball fans to bet on, and by using Monday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an advantage over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on March 11.



The best sportsbooks offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be puzzling. That's where Dimers.com's trusted approach comes into play.


These books include BetMGM, where new users can bet $5 on any of the below players to unlock $158 in bonus bets, even if he fails to open the scoring. Click ➡️ here ⬅️ to get started!.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: March 11, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Jaylen Brown (Celtics)16.8%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)15.5%
Cade Cunningham (Pistons)15.5%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)15.4%
Jonathan Kuminga (Warriors)14.9%
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls)14.4%
Trayce Jackson-Davis (Warriors)14.3%
Devin Vassell (Spurs)14.0%
RJ Barrett (Raptors)13.7%
Kyrie Irving (Mavericks)13.6%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Jaylen Brown, with a probability of 16.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Luka Doncic, with a 15.5% probability, and Cade Cunningham, with a 15.5% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, it does not always mean they are suggested bets according to DimersBOT.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 3/11/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+850)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Raptors and Nuggets. The bet is on RJ Barrett (TOR) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 3.2%.

The next two recommended plays are for Jaylen Brown (2.5% edge) to score first in the Celtics vs. Trail Blazers game and Bradley Beal (2.2%) to score the first basket in the Suns vs. Cavaliers matchup.

2. Jaylen Brown To Score First Basket (+600)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Monday comes in the Celtics vs. Trail Blazers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.5% on Jaylen Brown (BOS) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. Bradley Beal To Score First Basket (+850)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Monday comes in the Suns vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 2.2% on Bradley Beal (PHX) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

4. Immanuel Quickley To Score First Basket (+850)

The next best first basket bet for today's NBA action comes in the Raptors vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 0.8% on Immanuel Quickley (TOR) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Isaac Okoro To Score First Basket (+950)

Rounding out Dimers' top five NBA first basket bets for today is Isaac Okoro (CLE) at odds of +950 in the Suns vs. Cavaliers game. Here, our model has found an edge of 0.5% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: March 11, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for March 11, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of our NBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, March 11, have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More on NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Kevin Hansen
Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen specializes in NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL content, using data-driven insights for sports betting. He provides simple, actionable betting tips to help bettors find an edge and pick winners.

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