NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Friday 4/5/2024

Another exciting day of NBA Playoffs basketball is on the cards, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Friday, April 5, 2024.

Friday's NBA Playoffs action is set to showcase star players such as Deandre Ayton, Jalen Brunson and Pascal Siakam, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the more popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Friday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our supercomputer has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on April 5.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 5, 2024

Thanks to simulating each one of Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	18.2%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	17.7%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	15.6%
Giannis Antetokounmpo (Bucks)	15.5%
Paul George (Clippers)	15.3%
Devin Booker (Suns)	15.1%
Josh Giddey (Thunder)	15.0%
Collin Sexton (Jazz)	14.9%
Jalen Duren (Pistons)	14.9%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	14.7%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Deandre Ayton, with a probability of 18.2%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Jalen Brunson, with a 17.7% probability, and Pascal Siakam, with a 15.6% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Friday, which does not always indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 4/5/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday.

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1. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+1100)

• Odds: +1100
• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 12.9%
• Game: Raptors vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Raptors and Bucks. The bet is on RJ Barrett (TOR) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.5%.

The next two suggested bets are for De'Aaron Fox (4.1% edge) to score first in the Kings vs. Celtics game and Pascal Siakam (3.9%) to score the first basket in the Thunder vs. Pacers matchup.

2. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+950)

• Odds: +950
• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 13.7%
• Game: Kings vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Friday comes in the Kings vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 4.1% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's Best NBA Bets

3. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 15.6%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Friday comes in the Thunder vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.9% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Keegan Murray To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 11.9%
• Game: Kings vs. Celtics (7:30PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Friday's NBA action comes in the Kings vs. Celtics game, where our model has found an edge of 2.8% on Keegan Murray (SAC) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Jalen Brunson To Score First Basket (+550)

• Odds: +550
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 17.7%
• Game: Knicks vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for Friday is Jalen Brunson (NYK) at odds of +550 in the Knicks vs. Bulls game. Here, our model has found an edge of 2.3% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Friday slate:

• Thunder vs. Pacers Prediction (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Trail Blazers vs. Wizards Prediction (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Kings vs. Celtics Prediction (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Raptors vs. Bucks Prediction (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Knicks vs. Bulls Prediction (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Heat vs. Rockets Prediction (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Pistons vs. Grizzlies Prediction (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Timberwolves vs. Suns Prediction (10:00PM ET, Friday)
• Jazz vs. Clippers Prediction (10:30PM ET, Friday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 5, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 5, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Friday, April 5, are made after thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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