NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Friday, 4/19/2024]

We have another action-packed day of NBA upon us, and we've simulated each matchup 10,000 times to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Friday, April 19, 2024.

Friday's NBA slate features players such as De'Aaron Fox, CJ McCollum and DeMar DeRozan, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Friday's data-backed NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our basketball model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on April 19.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 19, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.6%
CJ McCollum (Pelicans)	14.1%
DeMar DeRozan (Bulls)	13.2%
Tyler Herro (Heat)	12.6%
Nikola Vucevic (Bulls)	11.3%
Jonas Valanciunas (Pelicans)	11.0%
Bam Adebayo (Heat)	11.0%
Brandon Ingram (Pelicans)	10.7%
Domantas Sabonis (Kings)	10.6%
Nikola Jovic (Heat)	10.5%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is De'Aaron Fox, with a probability of 14.6%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are CJ McCollum, with a 14.1% probability, and DeMar DeRozan, with a 13.2% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, which does not always mean that our model recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for the best odds available.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 4/19/2024

After simulating the outcome of today's NBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has found the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Friday.

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1. DeMar DeRozan To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 13.2%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Heat (7:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Bulls and Heat. The bet is on DeMar DeRozan (CHI) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 2.1%.

The next two suggested bets are for Coby White (1.3% edge) to score first in the Bulls vs. Heat game and Nikola Vucevic (0.2%) to score the first basket, also in the Bulls-Heat matchup.

2. Coby White To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 1.3%
• Probability: 10.4%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Heat (7:00PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Friday also comes in the Bulls vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 1.3% on Coby White (CHI) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's Best NBA Bets

3. Nikola Vucevic To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 0.2%
• Probability: 11.3%
• Matchup: Bulls vs. Heat (7:00PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Bulls vs. Heat game, where our model has found an edge of 0.2% on Nikola Vucevic (CHI) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's NBA Prop Picks

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Friday slate:

• Bulls vs. Heat Prediction (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Understanding Betting Edge

At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available NBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 19, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 19, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket predictions for Friday, April 19, have been generated thanks to rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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