NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today - Friday 4/12/2024

Another big day of NBA Playoffs action is on the menu, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the most reliable NBA first basket picks and odds for Friday, April 12, 2024.

Friday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature players such as Deandre Ayton, Jalen Brunson and Bobby Portis, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for basketball bettors to wager on, and by using Friday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on April 12.

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Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: April 12, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Deandre Ayton (Trail Blazers)	19.4%
Jalen Brunson (Knicks)	17.9%
Bobby Portis (Bucks)	16.7%
Victor Wembanyama (Spurs)	16.4%
Joel Embiid (76ers)	16.2%
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	15.6%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	15.4%
Kevin Durant (Suns)	14.8%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)	14.7%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	14.5%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Deandre Ayton, with a probability of 19.4%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Jalen Brunson, with a 17.9% probability, and Bobby Portis, with a 16.7% probability. Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Friday, which does not always indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 4/12/2024

After simulating the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best NBA first basket betting picks for Friday.

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1. RJ Barrett To Score First Basket (+1000)

• Odds: +1000
• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 13.5%
• Matchup: Raptors vs. Heat (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for Friday, which is in the game between the Raptors and Heat. The bet is on RJ Barrett (TOR) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 4.4%.

The next two recommended plays are for Pascal Siakam (3.5% edge) to score first in the Pacers vs. Cavaliers game and De'Aaron Fox (2.8%) to score the first basket in the Suns vs. Kings matchup.

2. Pascal Siakam To Score First Basket (+800)

• Odds: +800
• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 14.7%
• Game: Pacers vs. Cavaliers (7:30PM ET)

The next best NBA first basket bet for today comes in the Pacers vs. Cavaliers game, where our model has found an edge of 3.5% on Pascal Siakam (IND) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's Best NBA Bets

3. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+750)

• Odds: +750
• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 14.5%
• Matchup: Suns vs. Kings (10:30PM ET)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Suns vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 2.8% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's NBA Prop Picks

4. Dejounte Murray To Score First Basket (+900)

• Odds: +900
• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 12.6%
• Game: Hawks vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)

The next best first basket bet for Friday's NBA action comes in the Hawks vs. Timberwolves game, where our model has found an edge of 2.6% on Dejounte Murray (ATL) at odds of +900 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. Bobby Portis To Score First Basket (+600)

• Odds: +600
• Edge: 2.4%
• Probability: 16.7%
• Matchup: Bucks vs. Thunder (8:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top five NBA first basket bets for today is Bobby Portis (MIL) at odds of +600 in the Bucks vs. Thunder game. Here, our model has found an edge of 2.4% with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Friday slate:

• Magic vs. 76ers Prediction (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Pacers vs. Cavaliers Prediction (7:30PM ET, Friday)
• Raptors vs. Heat Prediction (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Hawks vs. Timberwolves Prediction (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Bucks vs. Thunder Prediction (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• Pistons vs. Mavericks Prediction (8:30PM ET, Friday)
• Suns vs. Kings Prediction (10:30PM ET, Friday)

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: April 12, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for April 12, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, April 12, have been generated thanks to thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's important that you practice responsible gambling and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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